Health Reform WK-EDGE ‘A Better Way’ would lead to quick gains but lower overall insurance coverage
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Friday, September 2, 2016

‘A Better Way’ would lead to quick gains but lower overall insurance coverage

By Patricia K. Ruiz, J.D.

The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA) (P.L. 111-148) replacement plan of House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis) would lead to a projected 1 million more insured individuals in 2018 relative to the current baseline, according to an analysis by the Center for Health and Economy (H&E). The benefits of A Better Way to Fix Health Care are short-lived, however, with the number projected to be 4 million fewer than under the current law by 2026, with the decrease concentrated within the Medicaid population.

Findings. In addition the quick gain in insured individuals, H&E also found that the plan would decrease the premium cost of private health insurance coverage, with the largest impact on Silver, Gold, and catastrophic coverage plans. Furthermore, under the plan, H&E projected that medical productivity would increase by 7 percent by 2026 relative to the current baseline. The analysis also estimated that provider access would increase 4 percent in the same timeframe. Finally, H&E projected that the plan would decrease the federal deficit by $481 billion between 2017 and 2026.

A Better Way to Fix Health Care. House republicans unveiled A Better Way to Fix Health Care in June 2016. Its plan for replacing the ACA, A Better Way seeks to give consumers more choices and lower costs, coverage regardless of age, income, medical conditions, or circumstances, access to cutting-edge cures and treatments, and more protection for seniors through a stronger Medicare. To analyze the impact of the plan, H&E relied on certain assumptions regarding how the plan would accomplish these goals, as A Better Way does not include comprehensive details on all the provisions included.

H&E noted that, as with all policy projections, these estimates are associated with substantial uncertainty, as it is not likely that the policy environment will remain unchanged through 2026.

Companies: Center for Health and Economy

Legislation: FederalLegislation AccessNews EnrollmentNews GeneralNews NewsFeed

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